The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Jeu de société Room 25 - Neuf, encore emballé - MatagotClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Vtg. 1954 Parker Bredhers Game of Ropes & Ladders in Original BoxBeyond the Gates of Antares 502416004 Isorian Mahran Vesh MV5 Combat Drone NIBGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) 28mm 30mm Minotaurs Warriors Set (3) - Scibor Miniaturessince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
BP197-0,5 x Märklin Mini-Club Scala Z Dc Carro Merci Db Somat + 30 AnniFleischmann N ICE T Mittelwagen 411 107-6 1. 2. Klasse DB VP (RB8654)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Warhammer Fantasy Battle RARE Elf Lord On Stag OOP METAL Wood Elf Games Workshop
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
4x Minitrix div Personenwagen M 26546, Donnerbüchse Spur N 1 160Minitrix, 4 Güterwagen, 3530 3202 3525 3596, mit OVP, Schnäppchen Scalding Tarn x1 NM Modern Masters 2017 Magic The Gathering
Thunder Snow (20-1):Advanced Dungeons and Dragons Module D3 Vault of the Drow This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Little live Scruff-a-Luvs Mystery Rescue Pet AQUA bluee Kids Gift Toy
- Dragon Ball Super Playmat - Father-Son Kamehameha
- Yugioh Elemental HERO Flame Wingman TLM-EN035 (Ultimate Rare 1st)
- Diesel Locomotive +2 Wagons Multi Mouse Fleischmann Digital Start Set 631282 H0
- HO Kato Union Pacific NW1 Switcher
- 7260 74- Neuwertige Märklin H0 Elektrolok 3055 inkl OVP
- MTH 20-98766 Dr.Pepper Flatcar w 48' Trailer
- RC Racing Boat Adults High Speed Electronic Remote Control Kids, orange
- Viessmann 1503 2 Kinder auf Spielplatzwippe Kinderwippe bewegt H0 5003 Neu
- 4 pairs Carbon Fiber Propeller 3 Leaf Blade Noise Reduction Folding Wing NS
- HORNBY R2361 CALEDONIAN CR 0-4-0 CLASS 0F PUG TANK LOCO 270 MINT BOXED ns
- Hs Lot 4 Busch Praline 1950's cars 1 87 HO Cadillac, Bel Air, T-Bird, Vette bw
- HO Model Power 490-622 Warehouse KIT- NIB
- Flying Cloud Limited Tall Model Clipper Ship 21
- MG Altron Gundam EW 1 100 Scale Plastic Model Kit Premium Bandai Limited NEW
- CUTE VINTAGE 1960's STEIFF SMALL 5 LORA MOHAIR PARred - Absolutely Adorable
- Drone Gimbal Camera 4K Camera Replacement Repair Parts Original Fo DJI Mavic Pro
- First Legion Renaissance REN049 Swiss Mercenary Halberdier
- Occupied Japan (Nomura) Tin Toy Red Car Remote Control Vintage 1940s
- HPI Baja Clutch bell carrier Bearings Housing Clutch Bell Pinion Gear Rovan King
- Aviation 72 1 200 British Airways 737-3Q8 G-Lgtg LCAV2733009
- 1pc 76mm80mm500mm Roll Wrapped Carbon Fiber Tube 3K Plain Weave Glossy Surface
- Bronco Mod WWII Aircraft 1 Curtiss P-40C (Hawk 81-A2) Fighter Flying Ti Box SW
- ALTHANS BROWN WHITE ST BERNARD PUPPY DOG WEST GERMANY STUFFED ANIMAL PLUSH TOY
- Cuddler Kitten Soft Plush (Exotic Short Hair Cream) cute & realistic (S)
- Bj476-0, 5 x Wiking H0 1 87 3500 Hanomag ST 100 with two trailers, NIP
- Model Shipways MS2018 Flying Fish 1 96 Scale 1851 Wooden Ship Kit ON SALE
- SHAYMIN PELUCHE POKEMON 23Cm. Forma Cielo - Sky Form Plush Bulbasaur Venusaur
- Lionel 6-18351 New York Central NYC S-1 TMCC Odyssey MIB never opened
- Lionel No. 211 Texas Special Alco A-A Diesel Locomotive, Red White
- Bachmann N Scale Steam Locomotive Consolidation 2-8-0 & Tender
- Aurora 184 The Incredible Hulk Comic Series Scale Plastic Model Kit with Comic
- Lord of the Rings Return of the King Aragorn Tin. Artbox. Free Shipping
- BT498-1 x Roco H0 Dc Carroza Db Nem 44536 (14936) + 44537 (13936), S.G
- Orufenzu Mobiruama Hashumaru 1 144 scale color-coded pre-plastic model of HG Mob
- KOTOBUKIYA ARMORED CORE AC016 CREST CR-C89E ORACLE Ver Plastic Model Kit NEW