The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
1 72 MiG-21MF in Czech & Czechoslovak Service (2 kits) [Limited Edition]Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Painted Toy tin soldiers 75 mm. Viking, 9-11 centuriesGerman WW 2 Elastolin - Cavalry Soldier with Rifle - 7 cmGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) King and Country Engineer w Wheel Barrow WH027since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Warhammer Fantasía Basize Edad de Sigmar Kislev Caballo Arqueros Dogs Of WarReadytosky 250mm FPV Racing Drone Frame Carbon Fiber True X (250mm Drone Frame)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Britains Deetail - 8th Army WW2
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
BN BraveHeart Double-ended CDI Electronic Ignitions for RC Airplane Gas EnginesKING & COUNTRY-soldier British giving to boire to a Soldier prisoner AllemanHasegawa QG16 1 350 721166 IJN Battleship Nagato Photo Etched Parts B
Thunder Snow (20-1):Dale Earnhardt Sr Engine Change At Dover During Race June 3, 1990 GM Goodwren This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Marklin 8636 Santa Fe Caboose Z Scale
- Lot 100 cartes Pokemon différentes 10xRares- 10x100PV - 0xNRJ -Neuves Françaises
- Märklin 36291 Locomotora Diésel Br 247 Vetron de Sonido de Fábrica
- HO Canadian National CNR Predo 1000 RS-10
- Kato HO 1-611 Passenger Car KIHA 80 with Motor (HO scale)
- Spin Master Star Wars Hero Droid BB-8 Fully Interactive 16 Tall
- Rivarossi Italia 2125 carro tramoggia RENFE Transcéréales TRANSFESA grey
- Menards Burlington northern flatcar with 2 flatbed trailers
- Mint Lionel Passenger Car Illuminated B&O Margret Corbin 6-9524 Train O Scale
- J Concepts - 2010 Ford Raptor- MT Body Twenty One
- MCCOY READHEAD RC Airplane Control Line 19 Spark Motor Engine PROP
- ( I05 P1) MÄRKLIN SONDER BIERWAGEN RADEBERGER EXPORTBIERBRAUERE TOP NEU OVP
- Sonic the Hedgehog Adventure 9 Talking action figure w Stand New Factory Sealed
- Vintage Concept Futuristic Streamline Marx Plastic Friction Space Car
- SHOPKINS ORNAMENT BLIND BAG LOT OF 27 BRAND NEW SEALED W TAG
- Savox SB-2263MG-BE Low Profile Brushless Digital Servo + ALU servo horn gold
- Revell 1 25 Peterbilt 359 Conventional and AMT 1 25 Peerless Logging Trailer
- Steiff CoCo Baboon 1952 Replica EAN No.030901
- Peddinghaus 1 48 Junkers Ju 52 3mg4e Markings for Swiss Falken Brauerei 2324
- (W_1570) 1 7 Tekken Anna Williams Unpainted Resin Figure Kit
- Trumpeter 05301 WWII Liberty Ship SS Jeremiah O'Brien 1 350 Scale Model Kit