The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
NEW PRO-LINE PRO-MT 4X4 Hinge Pins & Mounts +Hardware PM15Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Modelsport Transmission Ball Race Bearing Kit for Tamiya G6-01TR Chassis BTDHTSavox SV0235MG Gear Set SAV-SGSV0235MGGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Arrival 360 Degree Total Predective Propeller Guard Cage For DJI Spark Dronesince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Roco 66267 Rail Road Container Car Db Ep IV Optional Wheelsets for Märklin NipE31506 OO HO Gauge RM Routemaster Strathtay Exclusive First Edition (EFE)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Assembled Wheel Wheelie Bar Parts for 1 5 Traxxas XMAXX X-MAXX RC Car
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
New Mini RC Helicopter Mould King SuperF RC Quadcopter Drone 4CH 2.4GHz 6Axis1Pc Betaflight F4 Flight Controller for FPV Model RC Racing Drone AccessoryLIONEL 6-26243 CHRISTMAS 99 BOXCAR NIB 0 027
Thunder Snow (20-1):MJX Bugs 5 W B5W RC Quadcopter Spare Parts Flight Control Board This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- BRAND NEW Star Wars Destiny Convergence Megablaster Troopers Card + Die
- Pokemon First Edition Base Set PSA Graded Machamp & Double colorless Fast SHIP
- Daemons Of Khorne Skull Cannon AoS Warhammer 40k
- Roco 73575 - Electric Locomotive Series 115 of the German Railway AG OVP
- K-LINE GREAT NORTHERN EP-5 NIB
- Feilun Ft012 2.4g 4ch Brushless sans Balais Rc Racing Bateau
- X54HW SYMA RADIO CONTROL QUADCOPTER DRONE FPV CAMERA 360 AIRCRAFT 6-AXIS 2.4GHz
- BR963-0,5 Märklin H0 00 Ac 3600 Eks Raccordi (M PISTA ), S.G Ovp
- Bg594-1 X MÄRKLIN H0 AC bastler-niederbordwagen Freight Car 464 637 DB
- Märklin 48099 Museumswagen Set HO 1999 NEU in OVP
- Tyco Mantua 5628 CN Canadian National Locomotive
- Lionel 6-16424 Western Maryland Covered Hopper O Gauge Model Trains Freight Cars
- INTER.Burl.North. Green ACF 4650 Cu.Ft.3-Bay C. F. Hop. Car w 6 s 1 87
- Marbles - .80 German Handmade English Style Joseph's Coat Vintage Marble
- Rai Field Model 1 35 German Army Pantograph G Type Sd.Kfz.171 Early Type Late
- Godzilla Figure Burning Godzilla 1995
- NSR 0062AW Corvette C7R Grand Sport - Pace Car Indy 2017 - King 21 EVO3
- Transformers Lost Age series LA06 drift Toy Japan Hobby Japanese Kids Gift
- Big Size Beyblade Decagone Battle Stadium Area 25 Toy Kid 4 6 people_vgac