The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
New Oniichan dakedo Ai sae Areba Kankeinai yo ne Himenokoji Akiko FigureClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
RC4WD KS Rear Bumper TRX-4 79 Bronco Ranger XLT RC4VVVC0509SSS 4092 1650KV Brushless Motor 4 Poles Water Cooling For RC BoatsGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) (W_165)1 6 Fate Medusa Rider (RS-Z) Unpainted Resin Figure Kitsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Playkidz Super Durable Roll Toy Hammer Balls Plan Toy Punch for kids. Brand NewBandai Digital Digimon Digivice ver. X Antibody Evolution metalgarurumon White
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Resin Kit (GK) Getter Robo Ark 1
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
TC-CY 4092 3T KV700 5mm Brushless Motor for 1 8 Bigfoot RC Car Model Parts WSMCD Starrer Durchtrieb Mitte SPORT M021201X0Venom Drone 75C 3S 1300mAh 11.1V LiPo Battery and 2-4 Cell Balance Charger Combo
Thunder Snow (20-1):BANDAI MG 1 100 MS-06F J ZAKU II ONE YEAR WAR 0079 Ver Plastic Model Kit NEW This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- AMT Shelby Cobra 427 Assembly Kit 1 18
- European Tram W Crew And Accessories Kit Miniart 1 35 MIN38009 Model
- 138F Kit Artisanal Base Dinky Berliet 34 GLR Benne Tilting 1 50
- Pro-line Ambush 1 25 Front and Rear Axle Set with Micro Servo
- TKKJ TK117-1 Optical Flow Positioning Foldable Drone 720P Camera Wifi FPV B0T7
- Vtg 1960's Original Barbie Complete Set Let's Dance Purse Collar OT Heels
- Barbie in the pink shoes Lit set of 3
- 2000 Americana Edition Musical Patriotic Bear Plush In White w Patriotic Attire
- Donny & Marie Osmond TV Fashions South 'o the Border Donny Costume MOC Mattel
- Deb Canham Hot Edition Design A Bear - Bernard The Wine Waiter
- NIB Marilyn Monroe All About The Eve Franklin Mint porcelain doll
- IDEAL Tammy Pepper body & costume from Japan F S
- Mattel 1967 10 Buffy Doll in Original Box-Clothes w Mrs.Beasley--TALKING EVC
- Beautiful Old Vintage COMPOSITION DOLL Soft Clippings Body Compo Head Limbs 16
- Seymour Mann 3rd Annual Christmas Doll Ashley 832 10000 by Janet Sauerbrey 19
- Karma Alpha HEAVILY PLD White Uncommon MAGIC GATHERING CARD (ID) ABUGames