The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Lone Ranger Secret Army Ring 1941 Scarce w Photo Kix Cereal PremiumClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
FOIL PROSSH, SKYRAIDER OF KHER Masters 25 Magic The Gathering MTG MINT CARD M25Tyranitar Holo Aquapolis 2003 LpGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Pokemon Japanese Card Gym Badge 8 Cards Complete set XY-P 20th Prize Promo Holosince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Vintage Jimmy Walters Official Takraw Game Set in Original Box ExcellentNEW SEALED lot of 3 board games 7 Wonders Pandemic Coup
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Pokemon Blaziken EX Old card
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Warriors of Japan Like NewVintage 1942 Calling All Cars Board Game Police Chase Parker Bros. Complete BoxNEW Sealed 1998 Star Trek Next Generation TNG Monopoly Collectors Edition Game
Thunder Snow (20-1):Pokemon Aquapolis Togetic PSA 9 Holo H27 H32 This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Lot of 265 Vintage Marbles Swirls Various Makers
- American Flyer VeryVeryRare 4PARTROOF, DARK BROWN 1stProd 274 Harbor Junction OB
- Lionel 6-8031 6-8258 CANADIAN NATIONAL GP-7 DIESELS & 6-9161 CABOOSE
- Kato 3010-1 Scala N Elektro-Lokomotive Ef 81-81 Der Jnr Giappone Molto Buono
- Märklin 48574 H0 · Wagenset Eisenbahn und Häfen · OVP
- LGB Lok-Maus 55010 Scala G, Usato
- 28mm Post Apoc Miniatures Pig Iron Ferals Necromunda FallOut
- LF Models 1 72 Scale Resin Curtiss XP-40
- Vintage 1966 Charlie Brown's All Stars Baseball Board Game Parker Bredhers
- N KADEE Micro Trains 25220 Vermont Railways 50' Rib Side Box Car Sgl Door
- Vintage Life Like ANN ARBOR FA2 8 Wheel Drive FA2 Loco new in Box
- NEW SEALED Original Catch Phrase Party Board Game Parker Bredhers
- Escape Zombie City Free Shipping
- DGT Tournament Chess Set - Chess Board B rown 20 + DGT Chess Pieces 3,75 B W
- Bank Vollmer 3771 Scale H0
- Erekitto Relay With Intermittent Timer