The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
STAR WARS LEGION COMPLETE STARTER CORE SET - NEW & SEALEDWarhammer Fantasy Halfling Lumpin' Croops x12 metal OOP unpainted VGC 1.4.19
Mudders with potential:
Warhammer Imperial Guard Basilisk - JYS58Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Athens And Sparta By Columbia GamesWarhammer Age of Sigmar Stormcast Eternals Lord-Celestant on Stardrake 31Gormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
21 x 21 Handmade Hand Crafted Ambassador High Detail European Wooden Chess Set
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) ICE AGE BEASTS COLLECTION – DeeZee Miniatures 28mm Wargames & RPGsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Ajani Steadfast x1, M15, Near MintPokemon 2003 Skyridge Kabutops 14 144 Reverse Holo Foil PSA 10 GEM MINT
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.25mm napoleonic british - highlanders 35 figures - inf (29384)
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
FLEETLINE DOLPHIN BOAT IN ORIGINAL BOX GOOD CONDITIONA Winter War Finland Collector Series War Game GRD 904USCF Sales Padauk & Maple Wooden Chess Board - 2.0 With Notation & Logo
Thunder Snow (20-1):Magic MTG 4x Strip Mine FBB German Renaissance Playset Vintage www_MoxBeta_com This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Of Note:
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
N-Train 216.08 - Oberleitung 10x SNCF-H-Profil-Masten mit Ausleger für 25 kV L2Reproduced Antique Series Wooden Chess Pieces in Sheesham & Box Wood- 3.8 M0034
- Nici jolly mah tessa sheep plush doll soft toy 35cm
- HO 2-8-2 W TENDER DCC O B MC BAC54305 (NIB)
- Privateer Press Hordes Minions Blindwater Army Box Box MINT
- Atlas 10002883 HO Southern Pacific RS-11 Diesel Locomotive Standard DC
- Lot DECOR ACCESSORIES N Scale Gauge 29 ARBRES TREES Train Decoration
- Faller 180683 Planierraupe mit Antrieb Bausatz H0 NEU OVP 1607-05-20
- Tamiya 1 24 Sports car series No.253 Honda fit motorized plastic model 24253
- FSM SIGNAL TOWER KIT FINE SCALE MINIATURES.
- Lionel 6-82047 Lionel Lines Operating Log Dump Car O 027 2015 MIB New
- Warhammer Vampire Counts AoS Death Deathmages - Zacharias w Zombie Dragon (oop)
- Double Dragon TV Game Plug & Play Video Game System 30Year Anniversary Brand NEW
- New Hasegawa JT97 1 48 NAKAJIMA E8N1 TYPE 95 RECONNAISSANCE SEAPLANE
- NEW Walthers HO Scale Plastic Kit Cornerstone Smith's General Store 933-3653
- Fixies. Board game Fixiki Big secret. Fixicles. Fixiki. Nolik. Fiksiki.
- H0 Märklin 4x 4423 Niederbordwagen modeltrain 1 87 Spur HO Eisenbahn Güterwagen
- BT863-0, 5 Märklin H0 Caja Vacía para 3391 Locomotora de Vapor Br 03.10