The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
CubicFun 3D Puzzle Sagrada Familia Holy Family Cathedral Spain MC153h 194 pcsClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Walkera V120D02S D05010MG Minimum Upgrade Metal Gears ServoCYS-S8101 Servomoteur numérique de haute précision à engrenages en métal 13KG poGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Guitar Floor Stand Holder Frame Wall Mount for Acoustic Electric Guitar Basssince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Worker Long Sniper Modification Short Bullet Set For Nerf Zombie StriHolybro Kopis 1 FPV Racing Drone Spare Part DIY Handbag Carrying Case
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.4PSC 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0mm Steel Hexagon Screwdriver for RC Drone FPV Racing
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
LIFE-LIKE HO SCALE CAR TOOTSIE ROLL BOX CAR WITH OPENING DOORSSunnysky V2216 650Kv 800Kv 900Kv Multi-redor Copter Outrunner Brushless MotorAHM HO NORFOLK & WESTERN 2557 POWERED LOCOMOTIVE RAILROAD TRAIN CAR - USED
Thunder Snow (20-1):8PCS WPL B36 B24 B16 C24 1 16 Rc Car Parts Transmitter Receiver Board Battery US This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- VINTAGE SUPER RARE DORFAN PRE-WAR 0-GAUGE 410 3-SPAN BRIDGE
- N SCALE ATLAS ITEM GP-38 BNSF NEW
- Bz64-1Märklin H0 Ac Chassis Nem Kk Digital for 3768 E-Locomotive, Very Good
- Huma Modell 1 72 Scale German Junkers Ju 287 V1 Bomber
- Munchkin Quest Board & Card Game
- Slot CA22c Lola B11 80 n.33 3rd LMP2 Le Mans 2011
- BX108-1 x Lima H0 Dc Coche Restaurante DSG Cabina Db Etc. ,Pufferteller
- RG Mobile Suit Gundam UC MSN-06S Sinanju 1 144 scale color-coded model
- Domino Sugars MILLER ENGINEERING Animated Neon Sign O HO Scale 88-2401
- Hasbro Gaming Pie Face Showdown Game Watch Out For The Splat (Ages 3+)
- Kibri Kit 11285 NEW HO LIEBHERR R934 LITRONIC HYDRAULIC EXCAVATOR
- Warage, Expansion Kit Armeria - District, New, Italiano
- Lionel 9138 Sunoco S.U.N.X. Triple Dome Tank Car O Gauge
- GEPRC Mark2 BNF w Frsky R-XSR Receiver 230mm 2-5S 40A BLHeli_s 600TVL Full R5F1
- FPV Drone WiFi HD Camera Video RC One Key Return Home Headless 360° Flip NEW
- WLtoys 124012 1 12 2.4G 4WD 60km h Remote Control Desert Vehicle RC Car Model
- Vintage 1993 NABER Wooden Dolls WILD WOOD BABY
- Azone 48cm 50cm 50 Sailor Collar One-piece Sax (DOLL ACCESSORY)
- 2300Kv 14-Pole Brushless Outrunner Marine Motor
- Barbie Doll Fruit Fantasy 21386 Brand New In Box
- Htrc B6ac Mini V2 70w 7a Ac Dc Entrée Professionnel Lipo Battery Solde Charger