Frudaca M9566 RC Drone 6-Axis Gyro G-Sensor Mobile APP Remote Control 720P 2MP

Lionel 6-84840 O Steelton and Highspire 66' Mill Gondola with GraffitiSG900-S GPS Wifi RC Drone 1080P HD Camera Foldable Quadcopter Aircraft

The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast.  Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible.  We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.

HOT WLtoys F959 2.4G RC Aircraft Fixed-wing Radio Control Aircraft Airplane B31000 piece Hatoyama Hall 50x75 Puzzle Japan Import Toy Hobby Japanese

Mudders with potential:

Grip Hole - Wheel Loader - Nature - of WoodClassic Empire (4-1):  Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.

Tapwrit (20-1):  Also broke his maiden over a wet surface.  My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game.  He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.

LS ModelsWorld 40201 SNCF 1.Kl. PersonenWg OCEM A8myfi green black Ep3b neu+OVPDa Vinci Code Mini Cryptex Interesting Creative Romantic ItemGormley (15-1):  Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky.  The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza.  Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.

Battle of Midway (30-1):  Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface.  Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races.  In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.

The Real Deals:

Vollmer 43522 H0 Bahnhof Burghausen

Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) X pro 2.4G WIFI FPV With 720P 2.0MP HD Camera Selfie RC Quadcopter TG t7since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.  He’s kind of a sassy horse.  He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race.  With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother.  So the pedigree is perfect.

BV631-1Rivarossi H0 DC 46 E-Lok E-Lokomotive 1113 NS, TOP+OVPH0 Roco 04185A Elektro-Triebzug ET 90 DB Neuwertig OVP 7830

McCracken (5-1):  McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes.  Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Faller 180641 Transfo CA-CC- Transformator AC-DC

Filling out the Superfecta:

Always Dreaming (5-1):  Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs.  A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track.  However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.

Bz127-1Fleischmann H0 Dc 4235 Locomotiva Diesel 221 111-8 Db, Giunto MancantePLAYMOBIL aus 6120 Bauernhof Tiere Möbel Zubehör 6132 Förderband Strohballen TOPLOCOMOTIVA H0 HO Lima e646-153 646 e646

Thunder Snow (20-1):Playmobil Eisenbahn Gebäude building Western Train Station ACW LGB SCALE G  This is the European entry.  Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances.  The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here.  The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries.  He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.

State of Honor (30-1):  I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock:  His jockey, Jose Lezcano.  Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times.  But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire.  (What a choice?)  This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.

Of Note:

Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.

Novarossi 51020m-021 Silenciador 3 Habitaciones Reforzado + Colector 41021Yuntecc Q500 Typhoon 5400mAh Rechargeable Intelligent Flight Battery