Roco 68493 E-Lok BR 110 DB Epoche 4, 3-Leiter AC DIGITAL und Analog neuwertig

Atlas 10002887 HO Apache RS-11 Diesel Locomotive LokSound DCCDynam Spitfire V2 Version PNP

The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast.  Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible.  We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.

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Mudders with potential:

Roco 63835 H0 Altbau- Locomotora Eléctrica E 17 114 Db Ep.3 con Dss Muy BuenClassic Empire (4-1):  Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.

Tapwrit (20-1):  Also broke his maiden over a wet surface.  My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game.  He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.

Pro Boat 08015 Stealthwake 23-inch Brushed Deep-V Ready-to-RunMärklin 37072 Digital Dampflok Baureihe 78 494 DRG Spur H0 OVPGormley (15-1):  Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky.  The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza.  Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.

Battle of Midway (30-1):  Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface.  Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races.  In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.

The Real Deals:

Roco 73700, Diesellokomotive Serie 68000, SNCF, Neu und OVP, H0

Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Propel Star Wars Battle Quadcopter 74-Z & Speeder Bike - Free P&P IRE & UK since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.  He’s kind of a sassy horse.  He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race.  With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother.  So the pedigree is perfect.

1 10 Xb Series No.175 Xb Eneos Sustina Rc F Tt01 Chassis Typee 2.4ghz Propo WithRoco 73806 Diesellok BR 120 DR H0

McCracken (5-1):  McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes.  Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Märklin 43224 Schürzenwagen Messe Lok 2019 AC

Filling out the Superfecta:

Always Dreaming (5-1):  Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs.  A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track.  However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.

Piko 51518 E-Lok BR 141 DB AG Epoche V Gleichstrom Digital H0 NEU & OVPR2584 Rebuilt West Country Class 34003 Plymouth BR Green Mint Boxed DCC FITTEDHO Brass Nicely Painted Boston & Albany(B&A) A-1 2-8-4 Berk By LMB

Thunder Snow (20-1):Märklin 34637 H0 - Swiss Collection Motiv - Serie 460 -Delta Digital OVP W5157  This is the European entry.  Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances.  The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here.  The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries.  He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.

State of Honor (30-1):  I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock:  His jockey, Jose Lezcano.  Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times.  But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire.  (What a choice?)  This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.

Of Note:

Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.

Mehano HO 63461 Diesellok Red Tiger der OHE in DCL.S. Models H0 49055 3er Set City Night Line Liege- Schlafwagen DB OVP (MR7078)

 

 

 

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Down the Stretch with Mike Mills

Another solid card at Canterbury Park this weekend.  On Sunday, we start the day with six quarter horse races including the QH Derby, the Northlands Futurity and Minnesota Stallion Breeders stakes. But let’s get to Saturday first!  Last weekend, we watched Alex Canchari pick up his 500 win.  This weekend, we wait for Orlando Mojica to get his 2,000 win.  He is only three away as of today.RIVAROSSI H0 1410 LOCOMOTIVA ELETTRICA E 652 001 TIGRE PredOTIPO XMPR1 [MD3-016]

Happy to have Mike Mills back providing analysis for One Lucky Mudder.  Give him a follow Silnik Bezszczotkowy ARES PRO 5.0T 7050KV 450W 2S SkyRC

Race 1:  Two-year old Quarter Horse will go 300 yards in the Saturday opener at Canterbury Park.  Top QH jockey Nik Goodwin draws the outside gate in both races but I’m heading to the middle with the 5 horse Ada Lida with leading trainer Jason Olmstead and the red-hot rider Brayan Velazquez. The pedigree on the 3 shows speed, La Mos Pyc and Nik Goodwin can stay clear on the 9 with Promise Me Bob.

Flima Pm 1 18 110130110 Mercedes Amg Petronas F1 L. Hamilton 2013 Limited 750R3541 Hornby OO Gauge LNER 0-8-0 '2265' Raven Q6 Class

Race 3:  Coastal Breeze was in a tight spot when going long off the layoff, cuts back today and should plenty fit coming from just off the pace, Minnesota bred Chris Mars takes a drop in class and faces open company for the first time at Canterbury, he looks to be the quickest of the bunch and if he gets away from them early he will tough to catch late. Kill Shot runs second of the layoff and from this outside post should sit a great trip behind the speed, top connections always seem to fire.

Race 4: Ms. Bubbette never seemed comfortable in her last when chasing a wire to wire winner, Mojica takes the call today and with some different tactics she should be right there all the way around.  Classy Teacher didn’t much running last time out but she has run some nice turf races in the past, sharp turf connections will have her save all the ground and make one run, Kenna Mae is perfect over the turf facing Minnesota breds, she tries open company and with her natural speed she will take them as far as she can. Speed threat.Lionel Executive Inspection Car 6-18447

NS Serie 200 300 Treno Merci Set Ep. III Dss Nem Roco 61429 H0 1 87 Conf. Orig.Race 5: Da Kleinen Shatzi faced winners for the first time last out and ran a respectable third, inside post will force Butler to get her in the race early today but that style suits her well and the slight cutback will work in her favor, Adorkable hasn’t faced this kind of company before, last year she was knocking at the door in the allowance ranks, a couple dull efforts to start the year and the logical drop is taken but at 1 for 23 is the drop coming to late? Renamed beaten chalk last out at the level gets a great attack post today, just like our top selection she should be involved from the start and should appreciate the cut back.

Tamiya EP RC Car 1 10 The FROG OFF Road High Performance Racer with ESC 58354Race 6: Many runners return from the June 18 race in which Bourbonnais won clear, Solamente was trapped down on the rain and never got to do much running until it was too late, with a better trip today he can make amends for that effort, Streaking Schiller tried turf for the first time last out, he was near a pace that collapsed after he made a brief bid towards the lead, if Keith can get him to relax early he should have more punch in the stretch, Moecaro ran into that collapsing pace on June 18 and got in some trouble in the stretch, with a clean trip he should be making noise late.

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Race 8: G Road returns the turf where he broke his maiden last summer, he hasn’t shown much of last but the slight drop in class should help with the turf wake up call, Leavinglosangeles is the speed of the speed, he has very consistent speed figures and made a good account of himself in his only other try on the lawn, Qahr is one that doesn’t win very often but he does show up with some nice efforts including a third place finish over slightly tougher last time out, could be the bomb in the exotics.

ROCO 62481 DIGITAL OBB ÖBB CLASS BR 1042 700-3 E-LOK LOCOMOTIVE MINT BOXED nq

 

Item specifics

Condition:
Used: An item that has been used previously. See the seller’s listing for full details and description of ... Read moreabout the condition
Brand:

MTH

Gauge: O-GAUGE Year: 2000
Vintage (Y/N): Yes MPN:

001

UPC:

Does not apply