The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Exact-Train EX20120 Db Opole Bananas DcClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
ATLAS 1 87 HO SCALE CANADIAN NATIONAL CN 50' BOX CAR ITEM 20002506 NIBRatio 522 - Single Road Engine Shed 1 76 Scale = '00' Gauge New Plastic Kit T48Gormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Peppa Pig Lot School Boat Figurines Accessories 2003 Ashely Baker Daviessince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Large capacity portable size Carry Storage Case Bag For DJI Mavic Air DronePlaymobil Pirates Adventure Treasure Island 5134 not complete
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Puzz-3D Puzzle ALSACE NEW SEALED 959 Pieces
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Fleischmann H0 2 High-Sided Wagon Db 631025 020 Brakeman's Cab Dirt Scratches 5PCS Roll Wrapped 3K Glossy Carbon Fiber Tube OD18mmID16mmL500mm Twill WeaveHSP RC Car 1 10 Original Body Shell For 94111 94111PRO 94111TOP
Thunder Snow (20-1):Item Piece Dinosaurs Postal Puzzle This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Metropolys Board Game - Rio Grand USED Excellent condition
- Gripping-Beast-Saga - Western Mercenary- Pro Painted
- Lyddle End N Gauge Building WAITING ROOM N8001
- GW 40k Forge World Thousand Sons Legion Khenetai Occult Blade Cabal Upgrade NIB
- RARE NEW LIFE-LIKE N SCALE U A DORMER HOUSE PLASTIC MODEL KIT (B14)
- Atlas 3419 Sante Fe 40' Box Car
- Hubsan H501S-S Pro X4 Drone 5.8G FPV Brushless 1080P Camera Quadcopter GPS RTH
- Star Wars Air Hogs Remote Control Millennium Falcon Quad
- Playmobil FIGURAS, 59 FIGURAS VARIADAS, NOVEDAD, SIN USAR, LOTE 1
- American Flyer 6-48326 1996 TCA A F Sentinel B C
- F196 720P Wifi FPV Optical Flow Positioning Gesture Photo Video Follow Me Q3I9
- B44.3 CENTRE CVA KIT GEAR DIFF AS9941
- RARE HELI IKARUS Tuning Motor G310 160559 -DHL EXPRESS-
- Integy RC Model Hop-ups C22346 Wrench Set Ti-Nitride Allen Hex, 7pcs
- LESU 1 14 Scale RC Model Metal Urea Tank for DIY TAMITA Benz 3363 3348 1851 Car