The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
23cm Shrek - Soft Toy. Hasbro. Free ShippingClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Ra-29 Nest Brown Trans Formers MovieRoyal Albert Peter Rabbit Frog Jeremy Square Plate 16 cm FisherGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Mini-Z KYOSHO HONDA S2000 FAST & FURIOUS GLOSS COAT MZG45WS(BODY)since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
120mm Pegaso Roman Legionary Cornicen Cornu Horn model figure miniature standardKing and Country Mounted Napoleon (Chasseur Colonel’s Uniform) NA416 MIB
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.ROBONIMAL PANDA Z Megahouse Chogokin Godaikin mazinger pander.New In Box.
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
TRW060 The Pistoleer by King and CountryPrivate of the Union. US civil war. Elite tin soldiers Shcherbakov-HQModels.Dreamworks Playmobil Dragons How to Train a Dragon Playmobil 9243 Bagged
Thunder Snow (20-1):AOSHIMA Movie Mechanical Series No. SP6 Air Wolf with Clear Body Version Japan This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Vintage My Little Pony G1 So Soft Megan & Sundance NRFB MIB VHTF
- Mojang Minecraft Video Game Plush Bull Ocelot Pig Sheep Stuffed Animals Lot 5
- MÄRKLIN 39080 H0 mfx-digital Sound VT08 502 DB Dieseltriebzug Ep.III
- VI TRENES set Dos Pisos Casaralta Hoteles librea XMPR,logotipo Trenitalia
- Gmts - golden Oldies Linie 50 6165 Büssing 8000 Benne orange red 1 50
- Trumpeter 1 200 03613 Sovremenny Destroyer Type 956E model kit
- Bachmann 63708 US-Diesellok F7A Chesapeake and Ohio Spur H0 OVP
- Battletech painted Marsden Tanks (2) LG
- 2008 On30 ANNUAL Publisher is Out of Print Available ONLY here NEW BOOK
- 57 X 89 mm Fantasy Flight Supply 500 Clear Sleeves Standard usa Board Game Size
- HGUC 1 144 MSN-00100 hundred formula + mega bazooka launcher Mobile Sui... Japan
- Aoshima H-II Transfer Vehicle Model Kit
- HO PredO 1000 ALCO DL-109 LOCO SHELL BODY ONLY GULF MOBILE & OHIO GM&O NEW
- MAISTO MI31408R YAMAHA V.ROSSI 2016 MOTOGP N.46 1 10 MODELLINO DIE CAST MODEL