The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Futurama Alternate Universe Fry and Leela Comic Con Exclusive figure(s).Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
TWA Moonliner 41 tall resin kitU-MODELS - Lg lot of 17 German S-Boote & U-Boote figures 1 35 WWIIGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Tamiya 1 32 US AIR FORCE McDonnell Douglas F-15E STRIKE EAGLE Model Kit MIB`90 since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Solar Eclipse Glasses By American Paper Optics MADE IN USA ISO CERTIFIED only 2Castle Creations Sidewinder 1 8th ESC & 2200kV Motor Combo - P-CC13900
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Model Factory Hiro MFH K-376 1 24 McLaren F1 GTR Long Tail 1997 Sarthe Tamiya
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Look Smart Niki Lauda Monaco Ferrari 312 T 1975FUTABA 4PX , PredEK LIFE BATTERY AND R304SB RECEIVER3B Scientific K10 2 Malpighian Corpuscle of Kidney Model, 700 Times Full-Size,
Thunder Snow (20-1):VINTAGE 1967 PONTIAC GTO RED Congreenible Promo Model MPC AMT This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- LS MODELS 49141 Typ SG blue 1956, Rahmen lang, Dach normal, Waffen CIWL, OSE
- Hornby R2291A Class 90 90037 in Railfreight Distribution grey
- Atlas O Gauge 40' Steel Reefer car NIB 3 Rail New York Central car12345
- SG106 Foldable Quadcopter 1080P Camera Wifi FPV APP Control Foldable 2 Batteries
- LOT OF4 Fidget Cube Desk Finger Toy Fidget Toys Antistress Stress Cube Toys
- Marvel Comics Officially Licensed AvengersAge Of Ultron Hulkbuster 2-channel
- Noch 66010 Universal Bahnsteig 3er Set
- Great Planes GPMQ2905 Mechanical Retracts .40
- Playmobil® Serie 13 Komplett aus Jungen Briefumschläge Überraschung
- Evolution Toy Dynamite Action Robot Red Baron Limited Metallic Version Figure
- Godzilla 6.5 Hedorah Classic Action Figure Bandai 2007
- 1 24 Porsche 956 Cannon color Sports Car Series No. 232 Display Model 24232
- Pokemon Xurkitree Exclusive 15.5-Inch Plush